Inference Question- Horse racing

By 2014, both statisticians and advanced racing simulation tools struggled to reliably identify the factors most critical to a horse’s performance on race day. Some studies indicated that even a slight increase in track moisture could enhance the speed of specific breeds, potentially giving them an unexpected advantage. Conversely, elevated humidity levels appeared to drain the stamina of other horses, increasing the likelihood of disappointing performances from race favorites.

The challenge of accounting for weather in horse racing predictions became evident in an evaluation of twelve widely used forecasting systems. The models produced similar predictions when including a variety of factors such as track length, crowd size, and horse feed. However, when weather conditions were introduced, the forecasts diverged significantly. Such inconsistencies left analysts unable to determine which horses would excel under certain weather patterns or how trainers might adjust strategies to maximize performance in less-than-ideal conditions.

Based on the passage, which of the following can be inferred about horse racing prediction models?

Select all that apply.

A. Increased track moisture was predicted to lead to improved stamina for some horse breeds.

B. Weather is the most critical factor to a horse’s performance on race day.

C. Models excluding weather factors tended to agree more in their predictions.

**Answer is C ** but is A wrong. The question is inference and hence it can be inferred that high stamina might equate to high speed. To add on, the converse statement doesnt talk about speed but talks about stamina. Which means stamina and speed should be related. Thoughts?

That would be too much of a leap unfortunately. Stamina is the ability to run for longer, it doesn’t necessarily correlate with running fast. With inference it should be that “based on the info presented, we can almost guarantee this”.